Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.441018 0.515442 0.598913 0.699540 0.817672 0.952095 1.116865
2024-12-22 0.323688 0.420352 0.540987 0.702953 0.915319 1.185121 1.555271
2024-12-29 0.265729 0.370907 0.512152 0.716436 1.005655 1.402463 1.991689
2025-01-05 0.218829 0.323684 0.473057 0.702501 1.048229 1.553246 2.353380
2025-01-12 0.186285 0.289640 0.444557 0.695229 1.093927 1.708958 2.740192
2025-01-19 0.163709 0.266123 0.426766 0.699119 1.153873 1.890726 3.191206
2025-01-26 0.152023 0.257494 0.430029 0.735482 1.269078 2.174224 3.850189
2025-02-02 0.141546 0.249007 0.431748 0.768498 1.381957 2.467893 4.570620
2025-02-09 0.130751 0.238237 0.427715 0.790143 1.476703 2.741420 5.295199
2025-02-16 0.119454 0.224886 0.417083 0.797739 1.545709 2.976008 5.980353
2025-02-23 0.108140 0.209914 0.401362 0.793146 1.589960 3.168293 6.609562
2025-03-02 0.096464 0.192687 0.379096 0.772461 1.598813 3.290871 7.112300
2025-03-09 0.091219 0.187734 0.380543 0.800697 1.713802 3.649801 8.187309
2025-03-16 0.083961 0.177775 0.370748 0.804346 1.777730 3.911540 9.093802
2025-03-23 0.078628 0.171118 0.366828 0.819840 1.869364 4.245998 10.221843
2025-03-30 0.071245 0.159058 0.349833 0.803830 1.887049 4.415626 10.983853
2025-04-06 0.065303 0.149449 0.336988 0.795476 1.921223 4.628103 11.886839
2025-04-13 0.060913 0.142823 0.330018 0.799944 1.986788 4.925145 13.056205
2025-04-20 0.059382 0.142701 0.338021 0.841726 2.150944 5.490246 15.032442
2025-04-27 0.057639 0.141844 0.344155 0.879669 2.310884 6.068507 17.147168
2025-05-04 0.055221 0.139017 0.345138 0.904548 2.440156 6.585590 19.181542
2025-05-11 0.052116 0.134068 0.340233 0.913279 2.527074 7.001212 20.994822
2025-05-18 0.048577 0.127575 0.330611 0.908000 2.574368 7.313883 22.555375